Silkroad Online Forums

nuclearsilo was posting about a private server in another thread so i lurked around in SRA and look at what i found.

this THC aka D2A guy thinks flipping two dice and knowing what one of them is will give more than a 1/6 chance of landing on a 6. so does this mean if i play silkroad and lets say if im a level 50 and i know someone is lvl 100, that will give me a higher chance of killing him just by knowing their level? is that how "game theory" work when use in silkroad? or is not so smart as people give him credit for? i laugh my ass off. everyone else is saying hes wrong too.

heres his post read all the way at the end of the pic the one i circle read

link: http://silkroadaddiction.com/forum2/hom ... tions.html

What a weird guys is that.

Mirosuke wrote:What a weird guys is that.

+1

the same guy other peeps in NucearSilo C/GFX thread said invented the SP chart, had the correct sro damage formula, and according to nuclearsilo, break into the bot server and got a list of people that bot. must not be the same guy then cuz the THC guy is dead wrong.

What I don't get is why you would compare probability to this

so does this mean if i play silkroad and lets say if im a level 50 and i know someone is lvl 100, that will give me a higher chance of killing him just by knowing their level?

death2all is a dumbass, is that what you wanna hear? do you have an erection now?
seriously, why the fuck make a thread about this shit...

evilpeta wrote:death2all is a dumbass, is that what you wanna hear? do you have an erection now?
seriously, why the fuck make a thread about this shit...

+1
Pathetic

Kazaxat wrote:...

Actually, he is right. The problem itself is a tricky one. I'm no expert in math so i won't bother to explain it, but I could show you this so you understand better.
link
Scroll down to "Other conditions with two dice"
It shows all possible cases with 2 dices 6 faces. Because one of the dice is 4, you got to choose the first condition which is "either dice is 4", which give a probability of 11/36=0.3055.. (most ppl think it's 12/36=1/3). Now the probability of the 2nd one is a 6 once the first condition is known. Among these 11 cases, only 2 matches this criteria => 2/11=0.181818... is the right answer and not 1/6.

Juicy wrote:What I don't get is why you would compare probability to this

so does this mean if i play silkroad and lets say if im a level 50 and i know someone is lvl 100, that will give me a higher chance of killing him just by knowing their level?

This theory is widely applied in real life. In war, for example, "if you know your enemy, then you have higher chance to defeat him". A battle is not just about how strong you are, how good is your gear and weapon, but also strategy, weak point, strong point, what the enemy is capable of. Any battle require an investigation of the enemy force would increase the chance of winning, whoever did this job is called a "spy".